Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.153485e-04 0.000135 0.000156 0.000180 0.000206 0.000234 0.000266
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.400005e-05 0.000110 0.000139 0.000174 0.000214 0.000259 0.000312
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.062702e-05 0.000099 0.000133 0.000175 0.000225 0.000281 0.000350
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.888375e-05 0.000089 0.000127 0.000175 0.000235 0.000303 0.000388
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.994396e-05 0.000081 0.000121 0.000175 0.000241 0.000320 0.000419
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.018137e-05 0.000071 0.000112 0.000168 0.000241 0.000328 0.000440
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.519857e-05 0.000066 0.000110 0.000170 0.000250 0.000347 0.000473
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.796198e-05 0.000058 0.000101 0.000163 0.000247 0.000351 0.000488
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.458437e-05 0.000054 0.000099 0.000165 0.000255 0.000369 0.000519
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.082814e-05 0.000050 0.000095 0.000164 0.000259 0.000381 0.000544
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.911432e-05 0.000048 0.000096 0.000169 0.000271 0.000404 0.000583
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.683501e-05 0.000046 0.000094 0.000170 0.000279 0.000421 0.000613
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.320324e-05 0.000041 0.000088 0.000166 0.000280 0.000431 0.000637
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.030641e-05 0.000036 0.000083 0.000164 0.000283 0.000443 0.000664
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.239531e-06 0.000033 0.000080 0.000162 0.000287 0.000457 0.000694
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.855536e-06 0.000030 0.000079 0.000164 0.000296 0.000477 0.000731
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.322648e-06 0.000027 0.000075 0.000163 0.000299 0.000489 0.000759
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.759225e-06 0.000024 0.000070 0.000157 0.000297 0.000494 0.000776
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.018242e-06 0.000022 0.000069 0.000159 0.000305 0.000512 0.000811
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.922751e-06 0.000019 0.000063 0.000152 0.000300 0.000513 0.000822
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.496128e-06 0.000017 0.000062 0.000154 0.000308 0.000531 0.000858
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.044409e-06 0.000016 0.000060 0.000153 0.000311 0.000544 0.000886
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 8.791721e-07 0.000015 0.000060 0.000157 0.000324 0.000569 0.000932